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Same question. One gives you data, the other gives you an essay.
The two largest YES positions are held by wallets up +$861K and +$395K all-time. $1.25M in combined lifetime profits, long on YES. Real conviction from real money.
I don't have access to real-time wallet activity on Polymarket or other prediction markets, and I can't identify specific traders or their positions. However, I can share some general considerations about how to think about smart money in crypto markets.
1) Who tends to be "smart money" — traders with documented edge, often measured by historical profitability, position sizing discipline, or domain expertise.
2) Signals to watch — volume concentration, entry timing, and cross-market behavior can all hint at conviction.
3) Important caveats — without live wallet data I can't tell you who is currently long YES. Even with the data, past performance isn't always predictive, and similar markets historically may not capture the unique dynamics here, so consider this only one input among many…
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